Gardening Almanach statistics

[Kirdikan]

Hello,

I have compiled statistics about the gardening almanacs. The source of the raw data are the Rowen Trading discord so thanks to them for collecting those informations.

No one will disagree if i say the gardening almanac was a great addition to the game. However it can also be very frustrating. We often have the feeling that some almanacs are far more frequent than others.

The intent of this thread is to provide data and i hope it will start a discussion on how to improve this feature.

So here are the results :

- Raw data

I have used 380 gardening almanac information from 28 march 2020 to 11 april 2021.


- Stats by Zone

Zone	How many
Gazluk	46
Fae Realm	45
Serbule	44
Eltibule	43
Ilmari	43
Kur	40
Rahu	40
Sun Vale	40
Serbule Hills	39

Nothing much to say here. Each zone seems to have en equal chance to be chosen.


- Stats by Plant

Plant	How many
Cabbage	24
Red Pepper	24
Escarole	23
Squash	19
Potato	18
Pumpkin	18
Onion	17
Broccoli	16
Sugarcane	16
Beet	13
Green Pepper	13
Pea	13
Corn	12
Cotton	12
Barley	11
Carrot	11
Fae Mysotis	11
Winterhue	10
Basil	9
Desert Rose	9
Red Rose	9
Daisy	8
Pansy	8
Bluebell	7
Poppy	7
Red Aster	7
Tulip	7
Violet	7
Cantaloupe	6
Marigold	6
Dahlia	5
Elven Lily	3
Dandelion	1

Now it becomes interesting. It seems ovious the odds are different for plants. Flowers almanac are rarer. Out of the 16 rarer almanacs, 15 are flowers.

Another interesting point is pumpkin almanacs. Pumpkin seeds can only be looted during halloween. This almanac should not be that frequent.

Fun fact : Next Monday will be the 1 year anniversary of the last dandelion almanac.


- Almanac repeats

For each almanac i have checked if one or more almanac of the same plant has happened the previous 1, 6 and 13 days. So it shows repeats of the same almanac back to back, in one week and in two weeks.

What i have found ?

There have been 10 back to back almanac of the same plant.

There have been 65 almanachs with one almanac of the same plant in the previous 6 days.
There have been 3 almanachs with two almanacs of the same plant in the previous 6 days.

There have been 116 almanachs with one almanac of the same plant in the previous 13 days.
There have been 23 almanachs with two almanacs of the same plant in the previous 13 days.
There have been 2 almanachs with three almanacs of the same plant in the previous 13 days.


- Beginner friendly almanac

I also wanted to check how useful the almanac were for new players.

For this, i have chosen (arbitrarily) which plants are beginner friendly and which zones are not.

For the plants, i have chosen a cut-off of level 40 gardening.

For the zones, i have decided only Serbule, Serbule Hills, Eltibule and Rahu were beginner friendly. I have excluded Sun Vale because you need to be a druid or an animal to garden there.

So with those criterias :
- 87 almanacs were beginner friendly. Good zone and Good plant
- 114 almanacs would have been beginner friendly if not for the HL zone
- 79 almanacs would have been beginner friendly if not for the HL plant
- 100 almanacs were for experimented player. HL zone, HL plant.

Here, the interesting number is the second one. No one like to see a « cabbage almanac in Gazluk ». Everyone is losing in this situation. HL players don’t care, beginners can’t go there.

The third number is not a problem. If there is a good HL almanac in a low level zone, new players will benefit from buffs (music, display, …) It is a win/win situation.


- My suggestions to improve the almanac

1- More almanacs in beginner friendly area (serbule, serbule hills, eltibule). They are the ones that can benefit the most from almanacs. Equal odds between each zone looked like a good idea but it makes more than 50% of the almanac not accessible to the players that needs it the most.

2- Rework odds for flowers. I agree that high level flowers should be rare, they are very valuable. But mid level and low level flowers shouldn't be that rare. By making them less rare, you will also improve almanac diversity.

3- Decrease odds of Pumpkin almanac drastically. Like i said before, pumpkin seeds can't be looted outside halloween so no reason to see this almanac that much.

4- Block repeat of the same almanac in a 7 days period.

5- Block low level almanacs (potato, onion, cabbage, beet, bluebell, red aster) to happen in high level zone.


Thanks for reading

Kirkidan